World Cup 2022: Scenarios, standings, tiebreakers as Brazil, Portugal qualify for last 16; 27 teams alive

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We’re getting to the business end of the World Cup group stage as some of the groups only have one game left. So far, France, Portugal and Brazil are the only teams to have booked a place in the round of 16, but more will join them in the final game of each group. Qatar also joined South Africa as the only World Cup hosts to fail to make it out of the group stage. But let’s take a look at who could join the trio in the round of 16 and what their path is to get there.

Looking at the tiebreakers, the start is simple with the team with the most points advancing. If two teams are level on points then it will go to their overall goal difference. If they still cannot be divided, the next team to score the most goals will be the side that advances. The rules will then only be applied again in a head-to-head match between the two teams that are tied. Thus, the total number of points in those matches is followed by goal difference in headers and goals scored. If they make it all the way and can’t split, it finally goes to the fair play system.

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The fair play system will follow the team with the fewest penalties in games going forward. Thus, a team loses a point for a yellow card, three points for each red card caused by a second yellow card, four points for a straight red card and if a yellow card is followed by a straight red card it will count as five points.

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Here are the groups including all groups that have played two matches

Group A

Netherlands

1

1

2

2

4

Ecuador

1

1

2

2

4

Senegal

1

1

2

3

Qatar 2 -4 2
  • Netherlands: They can advance to the round of 16 with a win or a draw against Qatar. Can win the group by improving Ecuador’s result.
  • Ecuador: They can advance to the round of 16 with a win or a draw against Senegal. Can win the group by improving the Netherlands’ result.
  • Senegal: They can advance to the round of 16 with a win against Ecuador. They can also qualify for the round of 16 with a draw against Ecuador and the Netherlands with a loss to Qatar by more than two goals. It can win the group with a win against Ecuador and a draw or a loss by the Netherlands against Qatar.
  • Qatar: Eliminated from the fight for the round of 16.

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Group B

England

1

1

4

2

4

Iran

1

1

-2

2

3

United States

2

2

2

Wells

1

1

-2

2

1

  • England: Can win the group with a win over Wales. Can qualify for the round of 16 with a draw or loss of less than six goals and a draw or loss to the USA.
  • Iran: They can qualify for the round of 16 with a win or a draw against the USA. Can win the group with a win and a draw or England defeat.
  • United States: They can advance to the round of 16 with a win over Iran. Can win the group with England win and lose or England win and draw if they make up 4 goals on goal difference.
  • Wales: They can advance to the round of 16 with a win over England and a loss against Iran. They can also qualify by beating England by more than four goals. It can win the group by bettering Iran’s score and beating England by more than four goals.

Group C

Poland

1

1

2

2

4

Argentina

1

1

1

2

3

Saudi Arabia

1

1

-1

2

3

Mexico

1

1

-2

2

1

  • Poland: They can win the group and advance to the round of 16 with a win over Argentina. They could qualify for the round of 16 with a draw, but would only win the group if Saudi Arabia drew or lost against Mexico.
  • Argentina: They can advance to the round of 16 with a win over Poland. They can qualify for the round of 16 with a draw or a Saudi Arabia defeat by less than three goals against Mexico. Can win the group with a win and a draw or Saudi Arabia lose.
  • Saudi Arabia: They can advance to the round of 16 with a win over Mexico. They can also qualify with a draw and a loss to Argentina or a loss and Argentina losing by one more goal. (ie Saudi Arabia lose 1-0 and Argentina lose 2-0 will see Saudi Arabia advance
  • Mexico: They can go to the round of 16 with a win and a win for Poland over Argentina. He can also qualify by winning and making up for the goal difference advantage against Poland/Argentina while Argentina defeats or draws Poland.

Group D

France

2

4

2

6

Australia

1

1

-2

2

3

Denmark

1

1

-1

2

1

Tunisia

1

1

-1

2

1

  • France: Qualified for the round of 16. It can win the group with a win or draw against Tunisia or a draw or defeat against Australia.
  • Australia: They can advance to the round of 16 with a win against Denmark. Can also qualify with a draw and a draw or Tunisia defeat.
  • Denmark: They can advance to the round of 16 with a win against Australia.
  • Tunisia: They can qualify for the round of 16 with a win against France and Australia losing to Denmark where Tunisia wins by more goals than Denmark. Tunisia can also qualify for the round of 16 with a win over France and a draw in Australia.

Group E

Spain

1

1

7

2

4

Japan

1

1

2

3

Costa Rica

1

1

-6

2

3

Germany

1

1

-1

2

1

  • Spain: To the round of 16 with a win or a draw against Japan. Can win the group with a win over Japan. They can also progress with a defeat against Japan and a draw between Costa Rica and Germany.
  • Japan: To the round of 16 with a win against Spain. A draw against Spain and a draw between Costa Rica and Germany can also make it to the round of 16. They can win the group with a win against Spain and a better goal difference than Costa Rica if they beat Germany.
  • Costa Rica: Can progress with a win over Germany and a loss to one of Spain/Japan or a draw between the two. Can progress with a draw and defeat against Japan. They can win the group with a win, Spain defeat and make up for the six-goal gap between Japan.
  • Germany: It can be placed in the round of 16 with a win and a loss against Spain or Japan. They can also progress with a win by more than one goal and a draw against Japan.

Group F

Croatia

1

1

3

2

4

Morocco

1

1

2

2

4

Belgium

1

1

-1

2

3

Canada

2

-4

2

  • Croatia: They can advance to the round of 16 with a win against Belgium. They can also progress with a draw against Belgium and Morocco’s defeat by Canada. Can win the group by improving Morocco’s result.
  • Morocco: They can advance to the Round of 16 with a win or a draw against Canada. It can be placed in the round of 16 with a loss and a loss by Belgium or a loss, a win by Belgium and a better goal difference than Croatia. They can win the group by bettering Croatia’s score and making up for the one-goal gap.
  • Belgium: It can be placed in the round of 16 with a win over Croatia. They can also progress with a draw and defeat against Morocco by more than three goals.
  • Canada: Eliminated from the fight for the round of 16.

Group G

Team name

C

D

L

Difference in purpose

Matches played

Points

Brazil

2

3

2

6

Switzerland

1

1

2

3

Cameroon

1

1

-1

2

1

Serbia

1

1

-2

2

1

  • Brazil: By the round of 16, they can win the group with a win or a draw against Cameroon or a loss to Switzerland.
  • Switzerland: He can enter the round of 16 with a win or a draw against Serbia. They can win the group with a win, a loss to Brazil and a three goal difference.
  • Cameroon: He can enter the round of 16 with a win against Brazil and a loss against Switzerland. He can also enter the round of 16 with a win against Brazil by more than one goal and a draw between Switzerland and Serbia.
  • Serbia: He can enter the round of 16 with a win against Switzerland and a loss against Cameroon.

Group X

Team name

C

D

L

Difference in purpose

Matches played

Points

Portugal

2

3

2

6

Ghana

1

1

2

3

South Korea

1

1

-1

2

1

Uruguay

1

1

-2

2

1

  • Portugal: Under 16. Can win the group with a win or draw against South Korea or a loss against Ghana.
  • Ghana: Can enter the round of 16 with a win or a draw against Uruguay. With a draw, they will have to have a better goal difference than South Korea if they beat Portugal.
  • South Korea: It can enter the round of 16 with a win against Portugal and a loss against Ghana or a draw against Uruguay.
  • Uruguay: They can enter the round of 16 with a win against Ghana and a loss against South Korea or a draw against Portugal. If South Korea wins together with Uruguay, there will be a tiebreaker.



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